Arrow–Debreu model

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Template:Short description Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'Module:Sidebar/configuration' not found. In mathematical economics, the Arrow–Debreu model is a theoretical general equilibrium model. It posits that under certain economic assumptions (convex preferences, perfect competition, and demand independence), there must be a set of prices such that aggregate supplies will equal aggregate demands for every commodity in the economy.[1]

The model is central to the theory of general (economic) equilibrium, and it is used as a general reference for other microeconomic models. It was proposed by Kenneth Arrow, Gérard Debreu in 1954,[1] and Lionel W. McKenzie independently in 1954,[2] with later improvements in 1959.[3][4]

The A-D model is one of the most general models of competitive economy and is a crucial part of general equilibrium theory, as it can be used to prove the existence of general equilibrium (or Walrasian equilibrium) of an economy. In general, there may be many equilibria.

Arrow (1972) and Debreu (1983) were separately awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for their development of the model. McKenzie, however, did not receive the award.[5]

Formal statement

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The contents of both theorems [fundamental theorems of welfare economics] are old beliefs in economics. Arrow and Debreu have recently treated this question with techniques permitting proofs.

— Gérard Debreu, Valuation equilibrium and Pareto optimum (1954)

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This statement is precisely correct; once there were beliefs, now there was knowledge. The Arrow-Debreu model, as communicated in the Theory of Value, changed basic thinking and quickly became the standard model of price theory. It is the "benchmark” model in Finance, International Trade, Public Finance, Transportation, and even macroeconomics... In rather short order, it was no longer "as it is" in Marshall, Hicks, and Samuelson; rather, it became "as it is" in Theory of Value.

— Hugo Sonnenschein, remarks at the Debreu conference, Berkeley, 2005

This section follows the presentation in,[6] which is based on.[7]

Intuitive description of the Arrow–Debreu model

The Arrow–Debreu model models an economy as a combination of three kinds of agents: the households, the producers, and the market. The households and producers transact with the market but not with each other directly.

The households possess endowments (bundles of commodities they begin with), one may think of as "inheritance." For mathematical clarity, all households must sell all their endowment to the market at the beginning. If they wish to retain some of the endowments, they would have to repurchase them from the market later. The endowments may be working hours, land use, tons of corn, etc.

The households possess proportional ownerships of producers, which can be thought of as joint-stock companies. The profit made by producer j is divided among the households in proportion to how much stock each household holds for the producer j. Ownership is imposed initially, and the households may not sell, buy, create, or discard them.

The households receive a budget, income from selling endowments, and dividend from producer profits. The households possess preferences over bundles of commodities, which, under the assumptions given, makes them utility maximizers. The households choose the consumption plan with the highest utility they can afford using their budget.

The producers can transform bundles of commodities into other bundles of commodities. The producers have no separate utility functions. Instead, they are all purely profit maximizers.

The market is only capable of "choosing" a market price vector, which is a list of prices for each commodity, which every producer and household takes (there is no bargaining behavior—every producer and household is a price taker). The market has no utility or profit. Instead, the market aims to choose a market price vector such that, even though each household and producer is maximizing their utility and profit, their consumption and production plans "harmonize." That is, "the market clears". In other words, the market is playing the role of a "Walrasian auctioneer."

How an Arrow–Debreu model moves from beginning to end.
households producers
receive endowment and ownership of producers
sell all endowment to the market
plan production to maximize profit
enter purchase agreements between the market and each other
perform production plan
sell everything to the market
send all profits to households in proportion to ownership
plan consumption to maximize utility under budget constraint
buy the planned consumption from the market

Notation setup

In general, we write indices of agents as superscripts and vector coordinate indices as subscripts.

useful notations for real vectors

  • xy if n,xnyn
  • +N is the set of x such that x0
  • ++N is the set of x such that x0
  • ΔN={xN:x1,...,xN0,n1:Nxn=1} is the N-simplex. We often call it the price simplex since we sometimes scale the price vector to lie on it.

market

  • The commodities are indexed as n1:N. Here N is the number of commodities in the economy. It is a finite number.
  • The price vector p=(p1,...,pN)++N is a vector of length N, with each coordinate being the price of a commodity. The prices may be zero or positive.

households

  • The households are indexed as iI.
  • Each household begins with an endowment of commodities ri+N.
  • Each household begins with a tuple of ownerships of the producers αi,j0. The ownerships satisfy iIαi,j=1jJ.
  • The budget that the household receives is the sum of its income from selling endowments at the market price, plus profits from its ownership of producers:Mi(p)=p,ri+jJαi,jΠj(p)(M stands for money)
  • Each household has a Consumption Possibility Set 𝐶𝑃𝑆i+N.
  • Each household has a preference relation i over 𝐶𝑃𝑆i.
  • With assumptions on i (given in the next section), each preference relation is representable by a utility function ui:𝐶𝑃𝑆i[0,1] by the Debreu theorems. Thus instead of maximizing preference, we can equivalently state that the household is maximizing its utility.
  • A consumption plan is a vector in 𝐶𝑃𝑆i, written as xi.
  • U+i(xi) is the set of consumption plans at least as preferable as xi.
  • The budget set is the set of consumption plans that it can afford:Bi(p)={xi𝐶𝑃𝑆i:p,xiMi(p)}.
  • For each price vector p, the household has a demand vector for commodities, as Di(p)+N. This function is defined as the solution to a constraint maximization problem. It depends on both the economy and the initial distribution.Di(p):=argmaxxiBi(p)ui(xi)It may not be well-defined for all p++N. However, we will use enough assumptions to be well-defined at equilibrium price vectors.

producers

  • The producers are indexed as jJ.
  • Each producer has a Production Possibility Set 𝑃𝑃𝑆j. Note that the supply vector may have both positive and negative coordinates. For example, (1,1,0) indicates a production plan that uses up 1 unit of commodity 1 to produce 1 unit of commodity 2.
  • A production plan is a vector in 𝑃𝑃𝑆j, written as yj.
  • For each price vector p, the producer has a supply vector for commodities, as Sj(p)N. This function will be defined as the solution to a constraint maximization problem. It depends on both the economy and the initial distribution.Sj(p):=argmaxyj𝑃𝑃𝑆jp,yjIt may not be well-defined for all p++N. However, we will use enough assumptions to be well-defined at equilibrium price vectors.
  • The profit is Πj(p):=p,Sj(p)=maxyj𝑃𝑃𝑆jp,yj

aggregates

  • aggregate consumption possibility set 𝐶𝑃𝑆=iI𝐶𝑃𝑆i.
  • aggregate production possibility set 𝑃𝑃𝑆=jJ𝑃𝑃𝑆j.
  • aggregate endowment r=iri
  • aggregate demand D(p):=iDi(p)
  • aggregate supply S(p):=jSj(p)
  • excess demand Z(p)=D(p)S(p)r

the whole economy

  • An economy is a tuple (N,I,J,𝐶𝑃𝑆i,i,𝑃𝑃𝑆j). It is a tuple specifying the commodities, consumer preferences, consumption possibility sets, and producers' production possibility sets.
  • An economy with initial distribution is an economy, along with an initial distribution tuple (ri,αi,j)iI,jJ for the economy.
  • A state of the economy is a tuple of price, consumption plans, and production plans for each household and producer: ((pn)n1:N,(xi)iI,(yj)jJ).
  • A state is feasible iff each xi𝐶𝑃𝑆i, each yj𝑃𝑃𝑆j, and iIxijJyj+r.
  • The feasible production possibilities set, given endowment r, is 𝑃𝑃𝑆r:={y𝑃𝑃𝑆:y+r0}.
  • Given an economy with distribution, the state corresponding to a price vector p is (p,(Di(p))iI,(Sj(p))jJ).
  • Given an economy with distribution, a price vector p is an equilibrium price vector for the economy with initial distribution, iffZ(p)n{0 if pn=0=0 if pn>0That is, if a commodity is not free, then supply exactly equals demand, and if a commodity is free, then supply is equal or greater than demand (we allow free commodity to be oversupplied).
  • A state is an equilibrium state iff it is the state corresponding to an equilibrium price vector.

Assumptions

on the households
assumption explanation can we relax it?
𝐶𝑃𝑆i is closed Technical assumption necessary for proofs to work. No. It is necessary for the existence of demand functions.
local nonsatiation: x𝐶𝑃𝑆i,ϵ>0, x𝐶𝑃𝑆i,xix,xx<ϵ Households always want to consume a little more. No. It is necessary for Walras's law to hold.
𝐶𝑃𝑆i is strictly convex strictly diminishing marginal utility Yes, to mere convexity, with Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. See next section.
𝐶𝑃𝑆i is convex diminishing marginal utility Yes, to nonconvexity, with Shapley–Folkman lemma.
continuity: U+i(xi) is closed. Technical assumption necessary for the existence of utility functions by the Debreu theorems. No. If the preference is not continuous, then the excess demand function may not be continuous.
U+i(xi) is strictly convex. For two consumption bundles, any bundle between them is better than the lesser. Yes, to mere convexity, with Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. See the next section.
U+i(xi) is convex. For two consumption bundles, any bundle between them is no worse than the lesser. Yes, to nonconvexity, with Shapley–Folkman lemma.
The household always has at least one feasible consumption plan. no bankruptcy No. It is necessary for the existence of demand functions.
on the producers
assumption explanation can we relax it?
𝑃𝑃𝑆j is strictly convex diseconomies of scale Yes, to mere convexity, with Kakutani's fixed-point theorem. See next section.
𝑃𝑃𝑆j is convex no economies of scale Yes, to nonconvexity, with Shapley–Folkman lemma.
𝑃𝑃𝑆j contains 0. Producers can close down for free.
𝑃𝑃𝑆j is a closed set Technical assumption necessary for proofs to work. No. It is necessary for the existence of supply functions.
𝑃𝑃𝑆+N is bounded There is no arbitrarily large "free lunch". No. Economy needs scarcity.
𝑃𝑃𝑆(𝑃𝑃𝑆) is bounded The economy cannot reverse arbitrarily large transformations.

Imposing an artificial restriction

The functions Di(p),Sj(p) are not necessarily well-defined for all price vectors p. For example, if producer 1 is capable of transforming t units of commodity 1 into (t+1)21 units of commodity 2, and we have p1/p2<1, then the producer can create plans with infinite profit, thus Πj(p)=+, and Sj(p) is undefined.

Consequently, we define "restricted market" to be the same market, except there is a universal upper bound C, such that every producer is required to use a production plan yjC. Each household is required to use a consumption plan xiC. Denote the corresponding quantities on the restricted market with a tilde. So, for example, Z~(p) is the excess demand function on the restricted market.[8]

C is chosen to be "large enough" for the economy so that the restriction is not in effect under equilibrium conditions (see next section). In detail, C is chosen to be large enough such that:

  • For any consumption plan x such that x0,x=C, the plan is so "extravagant" that even if all the producers coordinate, they would still fall short of meeting the demand.
  • For any list of production plans for the economy (yj𝑃𝑃𝑆j)jJ, if jJyj+r0, then yj<Cfor each jJ. In other words, for any attainable production plan under the given endowment r, each producer's individual production plan must lie strictly within the restriction.

Each requirement is satisfiable.

  • Define the set of attainable aggregate production plans to be 𝑃𝑃𝑆r={jJyj:yj𝑃𝑃𝑆j for each jJ, and jJyj+r0}, then under the assumptions for the producers given above (especially the "no arbitrarily large free lunch" assumption), 𝑃𝑃𝑆r is bounded for any r0 (proof omitted). Thus the first requirement is satisfiable.
  • Define the set of attainable individual production plans to be 𝑃𝑃𝑆rj:={yj𝑃𝑃𝑆j:yj is a part of some attainable production plan under endowment r}then under the assumptions for the producers given above (especially the "no arbitrarily large transformations" assumption), 𝑃𝑃𝑆rj is bounded for any jJ,r0 (proof omitted). Thus the second requirement is satisfiable.

The two requirements together imply that the restriction is not a real restriction when the production plans and consumption plans are "interior" to the restriction.

  • At any price vector p, if S~j(p)<C, then Sj(p) exists and is equal to S~j(p). In other words, if the production plan of a restricted producer is interior to the artificial restriction, then the unrestricted producer would choose the same production plan. This is proved by exploiting the second requirement on C.
  • If all Sj(p)=S~j(p), then the restricted and unrestricted households have the same budget. Now, if we also have D~i(p)<C, then Di(p) exists and is equal to D~i(p). In other words, if the consumption plan of a restricted household is interior to the artificial restriction, then the unrestricted household would choose the same consumption plan. This is proved by exploiting the first requirement on C.

These two propositions imply that equilibria for the restricted market are equilibria for the unrestricted market:Page Template:Math theorem/styles.css has no content.

TheoremIf p is an equilibrium price vector for the restricted market, then it is also an equilibrium price vector for the unrestricted market. Furthermore, we have D~i(p)=Di(p),S~j(p)=Sj(p).

existence of general equilibrium

As the last piece of the construction, we define Walras's law:

  • The unrestricted market satisfies Walras's law at p iff all Sj(p),Di(p) are defined, and p,Z(p)=0, that is,jJp,Sj(p)+p,r=iIp,Di(p)
  • The restricted market satisfies Walras's law at p iff p,Z~(p)=0.

Walras's law can be interpreted on both sides:

  • On the side of the households, it is said that the aggregate household expenditure is equal to aggregate profit and aggregate income from selling endowments. In other words, every household spends its entire budget.
  • On the side of the producers, it is saying that the aggregate profit plus the aggregate cost equals the aggregate revenue.

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TheoremZ~ satisfies weak Walras's law: For all p++N, p,Z~(p)0 and if p,Z~(p)<0, then Z~(p)n>0 for some n.

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Proof sketch

If total excess demand value is exactly zero, then every household has spent all their budget. Else, some household is restricted to spend only part of their budget. Therefore, that household's consumption bundle is on the boundary of the restriction, that is, D~i(p)=C. We have chosen (in the previous section) C to be so large that even if all the producers coordinate, they would still fall short of meeting the demand. Consequently there exists some commodity n such that D~i(p)n>S~(p)n+rn

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TheoremAn equilibrium price vector exists for the restricted market, at which point the restricted market satisfies Walras's law.

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Proof sketch

By definition of equilibrium, if p is an equilibrium price vector for the restricted market, then at that point, the restricted market satisfies Walras's law.

Z~ is continuous since all S~j,D~i are continuous.

Define a function f(p)=max(0,p+γZ~(p))nmax(0,pn+γZ~(p)n)on the price simplex, where γ is a fixed positive constant.

By the weak Walras law, this function is well-defined. By Brouwer's fixed-point theorem, it has a fixed point. By the weak Walras law, this fixed point is a market equilibrium.

Note that the above proof does not give an iterative algorithm for finding any equilibrium, as there is no guarantee that the function f is a contraction. This is unsurprising, as there is no guarantee (without further assumptions) that any market equilibrium is a stable equilibrium.

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CorollaryAn equilibrium price vector exists for the unrestricted market, at which point the unrestricted market satisfies Walras's law.

The role of convexity

Picture of the unit circle
A quarter turn of the convex unit disk leaves the point (0,0) fixed but moves every point on the non–convex unit circle.

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In 1954, McKenzie and the pair Arrow and Debreu independently proved the existence of general equilibria by invoking the Kakutani fixed-point theorem on the fixed points of a continuous function from a compact, convex set into itself. In the Arrow–Debreu approach, convexity is essential, because such fixed-point theorems are inapplicable to non-convex sets. For example, the rotation of the unit circle by 90 degrees lacks fixed points, although this rotation is a continuous transformation of a compact set into itself; although compact, the unit circle is non-convex. In contrast, the same rotation applied to the convex hull of the unit circle leaves the point (0,0) fixed. Notice that the Kakutani theorem does not assert that there exists exactly one fixed point. Reflecting the unit disk across the y-axis leaves a vertical segment fixed, so that this reflection has an infinite number of fixed points.

Non-convexity in large economies

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The assumption of convexity precluded many applications, which were discussed in the Journal of Political Economy from 1959 to 1961 by Francis M. Bator, M. J. Farrell, Tjalling Koopmans, and Thomas J. Rothenberg.[9] Ross M. Starr (1969) proved the existence of economic equilibria when some consumer preferences need not be convex.[9] In his paper, Starr proved that a "convexified" economy has general equilibria that are closely approximated by "quasi-equilbria" of the original economy; Starr's proof used the Shapley–Folkman theorem.[10]

Uzawa equivalence theorem

(Uzawa, 1962)[11] showed that the existence of general equilibrium in an economy characterized by a continuous excess demand function fulfilling Walras's Law is equivalent to Brouwer fixed-Point theorem. Thus, the use of Brouwer's fixed-point theorem is essential for showing that the equilibrium exists in general.[12]

In welfare economics, one possible concern is finding a Pareto-optimal plan for the economy.

Intuitively, one can consider the problem of welfare economics to be the problem faced by a master planner for the whole economy: given starting endowment r for the entire society, the planner must pick a feasible master plan of production and consumption plans ((xi)iI,(yj)jJ). The master planner has a wide freedom in choosing the master plan, but any reasonable planner should agree that, if someone's utility can be increased, while everyone else's is not decreased, then it is a better plan. That is, the Pareto ordering should be followed.

Define the Pareto ordering on the set of all plans ((xi)iI,(yj)jJ) by ((xi)iI,(yj)jJ)((x'i)iI,(y'j)jJ) iff xiix'i for all iI.

Then, we say that a plan is Pareto-efficient with respect to a starting endowment r, iff it is feasible, and there does not exist another feasible plan that is strictly better in Pareto ordering.

In general, there are a whole continuum of Pareto-efficient plans for each starting endowment r.

With the set up, we have two fundamental theorems of welfare economics:[13]

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First fundamental theorem of welfare economicsAny market equilibrium state is Pareto-efficient.

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Proof sketch

The price hyperplane separates the attainable productions and the Pareto-better consumptions. That is, the hyperplane p,q=p,D(p) separates r+𝑃𝑃𝑆r and U++, where U++ is the set of all iIx'i, such that iI,x'i𝐶𝑃𝑆i,x'iixi, and iI,x'iixi. That is, it is the set of aggregates of all possible consumption plans that are strictly Pareto-better.

The attainable productions are on the lower side of the price hyperplane, while the Pareto-better consumptions are strictly on the upper side of the price hyperplane. Thus any Pareto-better plan is not attainable.

  • Any Pareto-better consumption plan must cost at least as much for every household, and cost more for at least one household.
  • Any attainable production plan must profit at most as much for every producer.

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Second fundamental theorem of welfare economicsFor any total endowment r, and any Pareto-efficient state achievable using that endowment, there exists a distribution of endowments {ri}iI and private ownerships {αi,j}iI,jJ of the producers, such that the given state is a market equilibrium state for some price vector p++N.

Proof idea: any Pareto-optimal consumption plan is separated by a hyperplane from the set of attainable consumption plans. The slope of the hyperplane would be the equilibrium prices. Verify that under such prices, each producer and household would find the given state optimal. Verify that Walras's law holds, and so the expenditures match income plus profit, and so it is possible to provide each household with exactly the necessary budget. Page Template:Math proof/styles.css has no content.

Proof

Since the state is attainable, we have iIxijJyj+r. The equality does not necessarily hold, so we define the set of attainable aggregate consumptions V:={r+yz:y𝑃𝑃𝑆,z0}. Any aggregate consumption bundle in V is attainable, and any outside is not.

Find the market price p.

Define U++ to be the set of all iIx'i, such that iI,x'i𝐶𝑃𝑆i,x'iixi, and iI,x'iixi. That is, it is the set of aggregates of all possible consumption plans that are strictly Pareto-better. Since each 𝐶𝑃𝑆i is convex, and each preference is convex, the set U++ is also convex.
Now, since the state is Pareto-optimal, the set U++ must be unattainable with the given endowment. That is, U++ is disjoint from V. Since both sets are convex, there exists a separating hyperplane between them.
Let the hyperplane be defined by p,q=c, where pN,p0, and c=iIp,xi. The sign is chosen such that p,U++c and p,r+𝑃𝑃𝑆c.

Claim: p0.

Suppose not, then there exists some n1:N such that pn<0. Then p,r+0ken>c if k is large enough, but we also have r+0kenV, contradiction.

We have by construction p,iIxi=c, and p,Vc. Now we claim: p,U++>c.

For each household i, let U+i(xi) be the set of consumption plans for i that are at least as good as xi, and U++i(xi) be the set of consumption plans for i that are strictly better than xi.
By local nonsatiation of i, the closed half-space p,qp,xi contains U+i(xi).
By continuity of i, the open half-space p,q>p,xi contains U++i(xi).
Adding them up, we find that the open half-space p,q>c contains U++.

Claim (Walras's law): p,r+jyj=c=p,ixi

Since the production is attainable, we have r+jyjixi, and since p0, we have p,r+jyjp,ixi.
By construction of the separating hyperplane, we also have p,r+jyjc=p,ixi, thus we have an equality.

Claim: at price p, each producer j maximizes profit at yj,

If there exists some production plan y'j such that one producer can reach higher profit p,y'j>p,yj, then
p,r+jJp,y'j>p,r+jJp,yj=c
but then we would have a point in r+𝑃𝑃𝑆 on the other side of the separating hyperplane, violating our construction.

Claim: at price p and budget p,xi, household i maximizes utility at xi.

Otherwise, there exists some x'i such that x'iixi and p,x'ip,xi. Then, consider aggregate consumption bundle q:=iI,iixi+x'i. It is in U++, but also satisfies p,qp,xi=c. But this contradicts previous claim that p,U++>c.

By Walras's law, the aggregate endowment income and profit exactly equals aggregate expenditure. It remains to distribute them such that each household i obtains exactly p,xi as its budget. This is trivial.

Here is a greedy algorithm to do it: first distribute all endowment of commodity 1 to household 1. If household 1 can reach its budget before distributing all of it, then move on to household 2. Otherwise, start distributing all endowment of commodity 2, etc. Similarly for ownerships of producers.

convexity vs strict convexity

The assumptions of strict convexity can be relaxed to convexity. This modification changes supply and demand functions from point-valued functions into set-valued functions (or "correspondences"), and the application of Brouwer's fixed-point theorem into Kakutani's fixed-point theorem.

This modification is similar to the generalization of the minimax theorem to the existence of Nash equilibria.

The two fundamental theorems of welfare economics holds without modification.

converting from strict convexity to convexity
strictly convex case convex case
𝑃𝑃𝑆j is strictly convex 𝑃𝑃𝑆j is convex
𝐶𝑃𝑆i is strictly convex 𝐶𝑃𝑆i is convex
i is strictly convex i is convex
S~j(p) is point-valued S~j(p) is set-valued
S~j(p) is continuous S~j(p) has closed graph ("upper hemicontinuous")
p,Z~(p)0 p,z0 for any zZ~(p)
... ...
equilibrium exists by Brouwer's fixed-point theorem equilibrium exists by Kakutani's fixed-point theorem

equilibrium vs "quasi-equilibrium"

The definition of market equilibrium assumes that every household performs utility maximization, subject to budget constraints. That is, {maxxiui(xi)p,xiMi(p)The dual problem would be cost minimization subject to utility constraints. That is,{ui(xi)u0iminxip,xifor some real number u0i. The duality gap between the two problems is nonnegative, and may be positive. Consequently, some authors study the dual problem and the properties of its "quasi-equilibrium"[14] (or "compensated equilibrium"[15]). Every equilibrium is a quasi-equilibrium, but the converse is not necessarily true.[15]

Extensions

Accounting for strategic bargaining

In the model, all producers and households are "price takers", meaning that they transact with the market using the price vector p. In particular, behaviors such as cartel, monopoly, consumer coalition, etc are not modelled. Edgeworth's limit theorem shows that under certain stronger assumptions, the households can do no better than price-take at the limit of an infinitely large economy.

Setup

In detail, we continue with the economic model on the households and producers, but we consider a different method to design production and distribution of commodities than the market economy. It may be interpreted as a model of a "socialist" economy.

  • There is no money, market, or private ownership of producers.
  • Since we have abolished private ownership, money, and the profit motive, there is no point in distinguishing one producer from the next. Consequently, instead of each producer planning individually yj𝑃𝑃𝑆j, it is as if the whole society has one great producer producing y𝑃𝑃𝑆.
  • Households still have the same preferences and endowments, but they no longer have budgets.
  • Producers do not produce to maximize profit, since there is no profit. All households come together to make a state ((xi)iI,y)—a production and consumption plan for the whole economy—with the following constraints:xi𝐶𝑃𝑆i,y𝑃𝑃𝑆,yi(xiri)
  • Any nonempty subset of households may eliminate all other households, while retaining control of the producers.

This economy is thus a cooperative game with each household being a player, and we have the following concepts from cooperative game theory:

  • A blocking coalition is a nonempty subset of households, such that there exists a strictly Pareto-better plan even if they eliminate all other households.
  • A state is a core state iff there are no blocking coalitions.
  • The core of an economy is the set of core states.

Since we assumed that any nonempty subset of households may eliminate all other households, while retaining control of the producers, the only states that can be executed are the core states. A state that is not a core state would immediately be objected by a coalition of households.

We need one more assumption on 𝑃𝑃𝑆, that it is a cone, that is, k𝑃𝑃𝑆𝑃𝑃𝑆 for any k0. This assumption rules out two ways for the economy to become trivial.

  • The curse of free lunch: In this model, the whole 𝑃𝑃𝑆 is available to any nonempty coalition, even a coalition of one. Consequently, if nobody has any endowment, and yet 𝑃𝑃𝑆 contains some "free lunch" y0, then (assuming preferences are monotonic) every household would like to take all of y for itself, and consequently there exists *no* core state. Intuitively, the picture of the world is a committee of selfish people, vetoing any plan that doesn't give the entire free lunch to itself.
  • The limit to growth: Consider a society with 2 commodities. One is "labor" and another is "food". Households have only labor as endowment, but they only consume food. The 𝑃𝑃𝑆 looks like a ramp with a flat top. So, putting in 0-1 thousand hours of labor produces 0-1 thousand kg of food, linearly, but any more labor produces no food. Now suppose each household is endowed with 1 thousand hours of labor. It's clear that every household would immediately block every other household, since it's always better for one to use the entire 𝑃𝑃𝑆 for itself.

Main results (Debreu and Scarf, 1963)

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PropositionMarket equilibria are core states.

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Proof

Define the price hyperplane p,q=p,jyj. Since it's a supporting hyperplane of 𝑃𝑃𝑆, and 𝑃𝑃𝑆 is a convex cone, the price hyperplane passes the origin. Thus p,jyj=p,ixiri=0.

Since jp,yj is the total profit, and every producer can at least make zero profit (that is, 0𝑃𝑃𝑆j ), this means that the profit is exactly zero for every producer. Consequently, every household's budget is exactly from selling endowment.

p,xi=p,ri

By utility maximization, every household is already doing as much as it could. Consequently, we have p,U++i(xi)>p,ri.

In particular, for any coalition II, and any production plan x'i that is Pareto-better, we have

iIp,x'i>iIp,ri and consequently, the point iIx'iri lies above the price hyperplane, making it unattainable.

In Debreu and Scarf's paper, they defined a particular way to approach an infinitely large economy, by "replicating households". That is, for any positive integer K, define an economy where there are K households that have exactly the same consumption possibility set and preference as household i.

Let xi,k stand for the consumption plan of the k-th replicate of household i. Define a plan to be equitable iff xi,kixi,k for any iI and k,kK.

In general, a state would be quite complex, treating each replicate differently. However, core states are significantly simpler: they are equitable, treating every replicate equally.

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PropositionAny core state is equitable.

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Proof

We use the "underdog coalition".

Consider a core state xi,k. Define average distributions x¯i:=1KkKxi,k.

It is attainable, so we have Ki(x¯iri)𝑃𝑃𝑆

Suppose there exist any inequality, that is, some xi,kixi,k, then by convexity of preferences, we have x¯iixi,k, where k is the worst-treated household of type i.

Now define the "underdog coalition" consisting of the worst-treated household of each type, and they propose to distribute according to x¯i. This is Pareto-better for the coalition, and since PP is conic, we also have i(x¯iri)𝑃𝑃𝑆, so the plan is attainable. Contradiction.

Consequently, when studying core states, it is sufficient to consider one consumption plan for each type of households. Now, define CK to be the set of all core states for the economy with K replicates per household. It is clear that C1C2, so we may define the limit set of core states C:=K=1CK.

We have seen that C contains the set of market equilibria for the original economy. The converse is true under minor additional assumption:[16]

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(Debreu and Scarf, 1963)If 𝑃𝑃𝑆 is a polygonal cone, or if every 𝐶𝑃𝑆i has nonempty interior with respect to N, then C is the set of market equilibria for the original economy.

The assumption that 𝑃𝑃𝑆 is a polygonal cone, or every 𝐶𝑃𝑆i has nonempty interior, is necessary to avoid the technical issue of "quasi-equilibrium". Without the assumption, we can only prove that C is contained in the set of quasi-equilibria.

Accounting for nonconvexity

The assumption that production possibility sets are convex is a strong constraint, as it implies that there is no economy of scale. Similarly, we may consider nonconvex consumption possibility sets and nonconvex preferences. In such cases, the supply and demand functions Sj(p),Di(p) may be discontinuous with respect to price vector, thus a general equilibrium may not exist.

However, we may "convexity" the economy, find an equilibrium for it, then by the Shapley–Folkman–Starr theorem, it is an approximate equilibrium for the original economy.

In detail, given any economy satisfying all the assumptions given, except convexity of 𝑃𝑃𝑆j,𝐶𝑃𝑆i and i, we define the "convexified economy" to be the same economy, except that

  • 𝑃𝑃𝑆'j=Conv(𝑃𝑃𝑆j)
  • 𝐶𝑃𝑆'i=Conv(𝐶𝑃𝑆i)
  • x'iy iff z𝐶𝑃𝑆i,yConv(U+i(z))xConv(U+i(z)).

where Conv denotes the convex hull.

With this, any general equilibrium for the convexified economy is also an approximate equilibrium for the original economy. That is, if p is an equilibrium price vector for the convexified economy, then[17]d(D(p)S(p),D(p)S(p))NLd(r,D(p)S(p))NLwhere d(,) is the Euclidean distance, and L is any upper bound on the inner radii of all 𝑃𝑃𝑆j,𝐶𝑃𝑆i (see page on Shapley–Folkman–Starr theorem for the definition of inner radii).

The convexified economy may not satisfy the assumptions. For example, the set {(x,0):x0}{(x,y):xy=1,x>0} is closed, but its convex hull is not closed. Imposing the further assumption that the convexified economy also satisfies the assumptions, we find that the original economy always has an approximate equilibrium.

Accounting for time, space, and uncertainty

Script error: No such module "labelled list hatnote". The commodities in the Arrow–Debreu model are entirely abstract. Thus, although it is typically represented as a static market, it can be used to model time, space, and uncertainty by splitting one commodity into several, each contingent on a certain time, place, and state of the world. For example, "apples" can be divided into "apples in New York in September if oranges are available" and "apples in Chicago in June if oranges are not available".

Trade between agents can be modeled as occurring in one of two ways. Either Arrow-Debreu securities are traded at the beginning of time, for all possible realization of uncertainty, and then no trade ever occurs again; or Arrow securities are traded sequentially every period.

Arrow-Debreu securities are also known as state-price securities, pure securities, or primitive securities. They are a contracts that agree to pay one unit of a numeraire (a currency or a commodity) if a particular state occurs at a particular time in the future and pays zero numeraire in all the other states. The price of this security is the state price of this particular state of the world. The state price vector is the vector of state prices for all states.[18]

An Arrow security is an instrument with a fixed payout of one unit in a specified state and no payout in other states.[19]

Example

Imagine a world where two states are possible tomorrow: peace (P) and war (W). Denote the random variable which represents the state as ω; denote tomorrow's random variable as ω1. Thus, ω1 can take two values: ω1=P and ω1=W.

Let's imagine that:

  • There is a security that pays off £1 if tomorrow's state is "P" and nothing if the state is "W". The price of this security is qP
  • There is a security that pays off £1 if tomorrow's state is "W" and nothing if the state is "P". The price of this security is qW

The prices qP and qW are the state prices.

The factors that affect these state prices are:

  • "Time preferences for consumption and the productivity of capital".[20] That is to say that the time value of money affects the state prices.
  • The probabilities of ω1=P and ω1=W. The more likely a move to W is, the higher the price qW gets, since qW insures the agent against the occurrence of state W. The seller of this insurance would demand a higher premium (if the economy is efficient).
  • The preferences of the agent. Suppose the agent has a standard concave utility function which depends on the state of the world. Assume that the agent loses an equal amount if the state is "W" as he would gain if the state was "P". Now, even if you assume that the above-mentioned probabilities ω1=P and ω1=W are equal, the changes in utility for the agent are not: Due to his decreasing marginal utility, the utility gain from a "peace dividend" tomorrow would be lower than the utility lost from the "war" state. If our agent were rational, he would pay more to insure against the down state than his net gain from the up state would be.

In finance

State prices may relatedly be applied in derivatives pricing and hedging: a contract whose settlement value is a function of an underlying asset whose value is uncertain at contract date, can be decomposed as a linear combination of its Arrow–Debreu securities, and thus as a weighted sum of its state prices; [21] [22] see Contingent claim analysis. Breeden and Litzenberger's work in 1978 [23] established the latter, more general use of state prices in finance.

Since their work, a large number of researchers have used options to extract Arrow–Debreu prices for a variety of applications in financial economics.[24]

Analogously, for a continuous random variable indicating a continuum of possible states, the value is found by integrating over the state price density.[citation needed]

Accounting for the existence of money

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No theory of money is offered here, and it is assumed that the economy works without the help of a good serving as medium of exchange.

— Gérard Debreu, Theory of value: An axiomatic analysis of economic equilibrium (1959)

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To the pure theorist, at the present juncture the most interesting and challenging aspect of money is that it can find no place in an Arrow–Debreu economy. This circumstance should also be of considerable significance to macroeconomists, but it rarely is.

— Frank Hahn, The foundations of monetary theory (1987)

Typically, economists consider the functions of money to be as a unit of account, store of value, medium of exchange, and standard of deferred payment. This is however incompatible with the Arrow–Debreu complete market described above. In the complete market, there is only a one-time transaction at the market "at the beginning of time". After that, households and producers merely execute their planned productions, consumptions, and deliveries of commodities until the end of time. Consequently, there is no use for storage of value or medium of exchange. This applies not just to the Arrow–Debreu complete market, but also to models (such as those with markets of contingent commodities and Arrow insurance contracts) that differ in form, but are mathematically equivalent to it.[25]

Computing general equilibria

Script error: No such module "Labelled list hatnote". Scarf (1967)[26] was the first algorithm that computes the general equilibrium. See Scarf (2018)[27] and Kubler (2012)[28] for reviews.

Number of equilibria

Script error: No such module "Labelled list hatnote". Certain economies at certain endowment vectors may have infinitely equilibrium price vectors. However, "generically", an economy has only finitely many equilibrium price vectors. Here, "generically" means "on all points, except a closed set of Lebesgue measure zero", as in Sard's theorem.[29][30]

There are many such genericity theorems. One example is the following:[31][32]

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GenericityFor any strictly positive endowment distribution r1,...,rI++N, and any strictly positive price vector p++N, define the excess demand Z(p,r1,...,rI) as before.

If on all p,r1,...,rI++N,

  • Z(p,r1,...,rI) is well-defined,
  • Z is differentiable,
  • pZ has (N1),

then for generically any endowment distribution r1,...,rI++N, there are only finitely many equilibria p++N.

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Proof (sketch)

Define the "equilibrium manifold" as the set of solutions to Z=0. By Walras's law, one of the constraints is redundant. By assumptions that pZ has rank (N1), no more constraints are redundant. Thus the equilibrium manifold has dimension N×I, which is equal to the space of all distributions of strictly positive endowments ++N×I.

By continuity of Z, the projection is closed. Thus by Sard's theorem, the projection from the equilibrium manifold to ++N×I is critical on only a set of measure 0. It remains to check that the preimage of the projection is generically not just discrete, but also finite.

See also

References

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  1. ^ a b Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Arrow, K. J.; Debreu, G. (1954). "Existence of an equilibrium for a competitive economy". Econometrica. 22 (3): 265–290. doi:10.2307/1907353. JSTOR 1907353.
  2. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.McKenzie, Lionel W. (1954). "On Equilibrium in Graham's Model of World Trade and Other Competitive Systems". Econometrica. 22 (2): 147–161. doi:10.2307/1907539. JSTOR 1907539.
  3. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.McKenzie, Lionel W. (1959). "On the Existence of General Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy". Econometrica. 27 (1): 54–71. doi:10.2307/1907777. JSTOR 1907777.
  4. ^ For an exposition of the proof, see Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Takayama, Akira (1985). Mathematical Economics (2nd ed.). London: Cambridge University Press. pp. 265–274. ISBN 978-0-521-31498-5.
  5. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Düppe, Till; Weintraub, E. Roy (2014-12-31). Finding Equilibrium. Princeton: Princeton University Press. doi:10.1515/9781400850129. ISBN 978-1-4008-5012-9.
  6. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Starr, Ross M. (2011). General Equilibrium Theory: An Introduction (2 ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN 978-0521533867.
  7. ^ Arrow, K. J. (1962). "Lectures on the theory of competitive equilibrium." Unpublished notes of lectures presented at Northwestern University.
  8. ^ The restricted market technique is described in (Starr 2011), Section 18.2. The technique was used in the original publication by Arrow and Debreu (1954).
  9. ^ a b Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Starr, Ross M. (1969), "Quasi–equilibria in markets with non–convex preferences (Appendix 2: The Shapley–Folkman theorem, pp. 35–37)", Econometrica, 37 (1): 25–38, CiteSeerX 10.1.1.297.8498, doi:10.2307/1909201, JSTOR 1909201.
  10. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Starr, Ross M. (2008). "Shapley–Folkman theorem". In Durlauf, Steven N.; Blume, Lawrence E. (eds.). The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. Vol. 4 (Second ed.). Palgrave Macmillan. pp. 317–318. doi:10.1057/9780230226203.1518. ISBN 978-0-333-78676-5.
  11. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Uzawa, Hirofumi (1962). "Walras' Existence Theorem and Brouwer's Fixed-Point Theorem". 季刊 理論経済学. 13 (1): 59–62. doi:10.11398/economics1950.13.1_59.
  12. ^ (Starr 2011), Section 18.4
  13. ^ (Starr 2011), Chapter 19
  14. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Debreu, Gerard (1959-01-01). Theory of Value: An Axiomatic Analysis of Economic Equilibrium. Yale University Press. ISBN 978-0-300-01559-1. {{cite book}}: ISBN / Date incompatibility (help)
  15. ^ a b Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Arrow, Kenneth J. (2007). General competitive analysis. North-Holland. ISBN 978-0-444-85497-1. OCLC 817224321.
  16. ^ (Starr 2011) Theorem 22.2
  17. ^ (Starr 2011), Theorem 25.1
  18. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Ljungqvist, Lars; Sargent, Thomas J. (2004). "8. Equilibrium with Complete Markets". Recursive Macroeconomic Theory (2nd ed.). MIT Press. ISBN 978-0-262-12274-0.
  19. ^ Lengwiler, Yvan. Microfoundations of financial economics: an introduction to general equilibrium asset pricing. Princeton University Press, 2009. p. 41.
  20. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Copeland, Thomas E.; Weston, J. Fred; Shastri, Kuldeep (2004). Financial theory and corporate policy (4th ed.). Addison-Wesley. p. 81. ISBN 0321127218.
  21. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Rebonato, Riccardo (8 July 2005). Volatility and Correlation: The Perfect Hedger and the Fox. John Wiley & Sons. pp. 323–. ISBN 978-0-470-09140-1.
  22. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Dempster; Pliska; Bruno Dupire (13 October 1997). Mathematics of Derivative Securities, ch. "Pricing and Hedging With Smiles". Cambridge University Press. pp. 103–. ISBN 978-0-521-58424-1.
  23. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Breeden, Douglas T.; Litzenberger, Robert H. (1978). "Prices of State-Contingent Claims Implicit in Option Prices". Journal of Business. 51 (4): 621–651. doi:10.1086/296025. JSTOR 2352653.
  24. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Almeida, Caio; Vicente, José (2008). "Are interest rate options important for the assessment of interest risk?" (PDF). Working Papers Series N. 179, Central Bank of Brazil.
  25. ^ (Starr 2011) Exercise 20.15
  26. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Scarf, Herbert (September 1967). "The Approximation of Fixed Points of a Continuous Mapping". SIAM Journal on Applied Mathematics. 15 (5): 1328–1343. doi:10.1137/0115116. ISSN 0036-1399.
  27. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Scarf, Herbert E. (2018), "Computation of General Equilibria", The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, pp. 1973–1984, doi:10.1057/978-1-349-95189-5_451, ISBN 978-1-349-95188-8, retrieved 2023-01-06{{citation}}: CS1 maint: work parameter with ISBN (link)
  28. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Kubler, Felix (2012), "Computation of General Equilibria (New Developments)", The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2012 Version, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan, doi:10.1057/9781137336583.0296, ISBN 9781137336583, retrieved 2023-01-06{{citation}}: CS1 maint: work parameter with ISBN (link)
  29. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Debreu, Gérard (June 2000), "Stephen Smale and the Economic Theory of General Equilibrium", The Collected Papers of Stephen Smale, World Scientific Publishing Company, pp. 243–258, doi:10.1142/9789812792815_0025, ISBN 978-981-02-4991-5, retrieved 2023-01-06{{citation}}: CS1 maint: work parameter with ISBN (link)
  30. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Smale, Steve (1981-01-01), Chapter 8 Global analysis and economics, Handbook of Mathematical Economics, vol. 1, Elsevier, pp. 331–370, doi:10.1016/S1573-4382(81)01012-6, ISBN 978-0-444-86126-9, retrieved 2023-01-06
  31. ^ Page Module:Citation/CS1/styles.css has no content.Debreu, Gérard (December 1984). "Economic Theory in the Mathematical Mode". The Scandinavian Journal of Economics. 86 (4): 393–410. doi:10.2307/3439651. ISSN 0347-0520. JSTOR 3439651.
  32. ^ (Starr 2011) Section 26.3

Further reading

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